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	<title>Politics &#38; Prosperity</title>
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		<title>A Nation of (Unconstitutional) Laws</title>
		<link>http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/26/a-nation-of-unconstitutional-laws/</link>
		<comments>http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/26/a-nation-of-unconstitutional-laws/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Jan 2012 03:39:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Thomas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Rule of Law]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Constitution]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/?p=6801</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I have long viewed the Constitution as a contract, which was entered into initially by the States, as authorized by the people of each State in a ratifying convention. At some point, probably long before the Civil War, the Constitution ceased to be a contract and became a law &#8212; or a conglomeration of laws, [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9278836&amp;post=6801&amp;subd=politicsandprosperity&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have long viewed the Constitution as a contract, which was entered into initially by the States, as authorized by the people of each State in a ratifying convention. At some point, probably long before the Civil War, the Constitution ceased to be a contract and became a law &#8212; or a conglomeration of laws, variously interpreted and enforced by the factions then in control of Congress, the executive branch, and the Supreme Court. The Civil War cemented the status of the Constitution as law by imposing it forcibly on dissenting parties: the members of the Confederate States of America.</p>
<p>The original contract was a compact among the States and the people thereof to form a central government of limited, enumerated powers. The main purposes of that government were to keep peace among the States, ensure a free flow of trade among the States, ensure uniformity in the rules of inter-State and international commerce, face the world with a single foreign policy and a national armed force, and ensure the even-handed application of the Constitution and of constitutional laws.</p>
<p>The central government is no longer the creature of a contract, bound by the terms of that contract. It has become the unaccountable arbiter of its own doings. Its laws &#8212; legislative enactments, executive orders, and judicial holdings &#8212; sometimes pay lip service to the Constitution. But the central government&#8217;s conduct is almost entirely unrelated to and unconstrained by the Constitution. Judicial holdings that affirm the original contract are notable because they are unusual.</p>
<p>What began as a grand bargain among equals has become a Faustian bargain.</p>
<p>Related posts:<br />
<a href="../2009/03/26/substantive-due-process-liberty-of-contract-and-the-states-police-power/" target="_blank">Substantive Due Process, Liberty of Contract, and the States’ Police Power</a><br />
<a href="../2009/04/17/secession/" target="_blank">Secession</a><br />
<a href="../2009/06/05/a-new-new-constitution/" target="_blank">A New, New Constitution</a><br />
<a href="../2009/07/02/secession-redux/" target="_blank">Secession Redux</a><br />
<a href="../2009/08/20/a-new-cold-civil-war-or-secession/" target="_blank">A New Cold War or Secession?</a><br />
<a href="../2009/11/26/the-real-constitution-and-civil-disobedience/" target="_blank">The Real Constitution and Civil Disobedience</a><br />
<a href="../2010/03/30/a-declaration-of-independence-2/" target="_blank">A Declaration of Independence</a><br />
<a href="../2010/04/28/first-principles/" target="_blank">First Principles</a><br />
<a href="../2010/06/18/zones-of-liberty/" target="_blank">Zones of Liberty</a><br />
<a href="../2010/08/04/2010/05/12/state-of-the-union-2010/" target="_blank">The State of the Union: 2010</a><br />
<a href="../2010/08/04/2010/05/13/the-shape-of-things-to-come/" target="_blank">The Shape of Things to Come</a><br />
<a href="../2010/08/04/constitution-corruption-original-meaning-and-restoration/" target="_blank">The Constitution: Original Meaning, Corruption, and Restoration</a><br />
<a href="../2010/09/19/a-conversation-with-uncle-sam/" target="_blank">A Conversation with Uncle Sam</a></p>
<br />Filed under: <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/category/rule-of-law/'>Rule of Law</a> Tagged: <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/constitution/'>Constitution</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6801/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6801/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6801/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6801/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6801/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6801/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6801/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6801/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6801/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6801/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6801/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6801/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6801/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6801/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9278836&amp;post=6801&amp;subd=politicsandprosperity&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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			<media:title type="html">Tom</media:title>
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		<title>In Defense of the 1%</title>
		<link>http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/25/in-defense-of-the-1/</link>
		<comments>http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/25/in-defense-of-the-1/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jan 2012 17:35:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Thomas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Political Economy & Civil Society]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Political Movements & Theories]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inequality]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[soft despotism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[the 1%]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[the 99%]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[&#8220;Liberalism,&#8221; its adherents claim, is about things like &#8220;fairness&#8221; and &#8220;social justice.&#8221; Where &#8220;fairness&#8221; and &#8220;social justice&#8221; are lacking &#8212; as they usually are in the &#8220;liberal&#8221; worldview &#8212; the state must intervene and penalize the &#8220;privileged&#8221; so that the &#8220;less privileged&#8221; may enjoy &#8220;fairness&#8221; and &#8220;social justice.&#8221; (I call it blaming the blameless.) This [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9278836&amp;post=6790&amp;subd=politicsandprosperity&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Liberalism,&#8221; its adherents claim, is about things like &#8220;fairness&#8221; and &#8220;social justice.&#8221; Where &#8220;fairness&#8221; and &#8220;social justice&#8221; are lacking &#8212; as they usually are in the &#8220;liberal&#8221; worldview &#8212; the state must intervene and penalize the &#8220;privileged&#8221; so that the &#8220;less privileged&#8221; may enjoy &#8220;fairness&#8221; and &#8220;social justice.&#8221; (I call it <a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2011/05/30/luck-egalitarianism-and-moral-luck/" target="_blank">blaming the blameless</a>.) This kind of retributive governance cannot stand logical or empirical scrutiny, but it pleases the masses and feeds the power-lust of &#8220;liberal&#8221; politicians.</p>
<p>Who are the &#8220;privileged&#8221;? These days they are those who have (<a href="http://mjperry.blogspot.com/2008/02/rich-getting-richer-and-poor-are.html" target="_blank">temporarily, at least</a>) scaled the  heights of the income distribution. They are the so-called 1%, who (in the &#8220;liberal&#8221; and left-libertarian view) are there because they are able to &#8220;game the system&#8221; better than the 99%. Will Wilkinson has a good <a href="http://bigthink.com/ideas/41479?page=all" target="_blank">answer</a> to that allegation:</p>
<blockquote><p>I think anti-1% rhetoric is misguided and perhaps politically self-defeating. By failing to distinguish between those who became wealthy primarily by creating wealth and those who became wealthy by appropriating wealth, 1%-er/anti-oligarchy language implicitly sets itself in opposition to the kind of inventive, productive people many of us nobly aspire to become. As Kinsley says, a lot of folks really resent this, and they&#8217;re not wrong.</p>
<p>Making more money than 99% of one&#8217;s countrymen is, by itself, no more morally objectionable than scoring in the 99th percentile of the SAT. Indeed, generally, it&#8217;s much more morally praiseworthy; creating wealth benefits people other than oneself. Of course, some people cheat on the SAT. Cheating is wrong. But high-scorers generally aren&#8217;t screwing anyone over. Likewise, some people do get rich by cheating and screwing people over. But most people who get rich do it playing by the rules. It&#8217;s a mistake to base a protest movement on the refusal to acknowledge this&#8230;.</p>
<p>If we&#8217;re all embedded in a fundamentally unjust, exploitative global economic structure, it&#8217;s hard to see why the <em>American</em> 1% should be especially salient. Why not the global 1%, or the global 10 or 20%, which would include pretty much the whole American population. If it is morally imperative to confiscate exceptional wealth and use it to meet human needs, then it is imperative to confiscate most of the wealth in all wealthy countries, not just the wealth of the wealthiest of the wealthy, and transfer it to the <em>world</em>&#8216;s poor, not to the relatively well-to-do poor of the wealthiest countries.</p>
<p>If it&#8217;s not possible to bring in $600,000 in a year without therefore being guilty of complicity in a exploitative global system, which invalidates one&#8217;s moral claim to one&#8217;s income, it&#8217;s probably not possible to bring in an untainted, secure $60,000 either.</p>
<p>Of course, most complaints about the American 1% are not grounded on the view that the global political economy is a comprehensive web of exploitation. It&#8217;s based on the supposition that the domestic 1% is guilty of <em>something or other</em> the domestic 10 or 30 or 50% isn&#8217;t, and therefore deserves to be a target of scorn in a way the 10 or 30 or 50% does not. But, however you slice it, it&#8217;s going to be true that a lot of people in the top 1% got there in pretty much the same way a lot of people in the top 30 or 50% got there. If there&#8217;s nothing wrong with a way of making money at the 50th percentile, there&#8217;s nothing wrong with it at the 99th. And if there&#8217;s something wrong with it at the 99th, there&#8217;s something wrong with at the 50th. The unwillingness to identify specific mechanisms of unjust income acquisition, and the insistence on treating income-earners above a arbitrary cut-off point as a unified class deserving special contempt, strike me as symptoms of intellectually laziness and a less than thoroughgoing interest in justice.</p></blockquote>
<p>There is a further, crucial criticism of the anti-1% mentality. The 1%, for the most part, consists of individuals who are smart and ambitious enough to do quite well without the unspecified mechanisms that supposedly favor them. Even with a hypothetically appealing but practically unattainable &#8220;level playing field,&#8221; I would not expect the composition of the 1% to change markedly.</p>
<p>In any event, there will always be a 1% of one kind or another, the left&#8217;s penchant for <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nirvana_fallacy" target="_blank">Nirvana fallacies</a> to the contrary. The real-world choice is not between equality and inequality, it is between liberty and tyranny. Liberty allows a 1% consisting of an (ever-changing) economic &#8220;elite&#8221;; tyranny allows a 1% consisting of a tyrant&#8217;s henchmen and courtiers. The futile flight from economic inequality has delivered America into the hands of rabble-rousing petty tyrants &#8212; <a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2009/06/21/fascism-and-the-future-of-america/" target="_blank">&#8220;soft&#8221; despots</a>, if you will &#8212; who have badly damaged our economic and social liberties without quite extinguishing them.</p>
<p>These rabble-rousers &#8212; who are exemplified by the Roosevelts, Woodrow Wilson, LBJ, and BHO &#8212; have been enabled by the <a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2010/08/04/constitution-corruption-original-meaning-and-restoration/" target="_blank">decline of constitutional republicanism</a> and the rise of interest-group <a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2009/04/30/democracy-and-liberty/" target="_blank">democracy</a>. The rabble-rousers have exploited the masses&#8217; envy and fear. But, unbeknownst to the masses, the rabble-rousers have failed to deliver prosperity and have instead delivered <a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2009/05/25/the-price-of-government/" target="_blank">impoverishment</a>.* Why? Because the rabble-rousers&#8217; essential program is to penalize the productive through progressive taxation, affirmative action, and restrictive regulations. But the rabble-rousers seem not to know or care that their schemes also penalize the less-productive and unproductive by hindering economic growth and job creation.</p>
<p>If anything, the 1% is to be applauded for having succeeded against great odds. And for <a href="http://thenextweb.com/microsoft/2012/01/14/bill-gates-philanthropic-efforts-have-helped-save-over-5-8-million-lives/" target="_blank">delivering value</a>.</p>
<p>Related posts:<br />
<a href="../2009/02/26/the-causes-of-economic-growth/" target="_blank">The Causes of Economic Growth</a><br />
<a href="../2009/03/03/positive-rights-and-cosmic-justice/" target="_blank">Positive Rights and Cosmic Justice</a><br />
<a href="../2009/04/02/a-short-course-in-economics/" target="_blank">A Short Course in Economics</a><br />
<a href="../2009/04/23/fascism-with-a-friendly-face/" target="_blank">Fascism with a “Friendly” Face</a><br />
<a href="../2009/04/30/democracy-and-liberty/" target="_blank">Democracy and Liberty</a><br />
<a href="../2009/05/05/the-interest-group-paradox/" target="_blank">The Interest-Group Paradox</a><br />
<a href="../2009/05/21/addenda-to-a-short-course-in-economics/" target="_blank">Addendum to a Short Course in Economics</a><br />
<a href="../2009/06/08/utilitarianism-liberalism-and-omniscience/" target="_blank">Utilitarianism, “Liberalism,” and Omniscience</a><br />
<a href="../2009/06/20/utilitarianism-vs-liberty/" target="_blank">Utilitarianism vs. Liberty</a><br />
<a href="../2009/06/21/fascism-and-the-future-of-america/" target="_blank">Fascism and the Future of America</a><br />
<a href="../2009/07/02/the-indivisibility-of-economic-and-social-liberty/" target="_blank">The Indivisibility of Economic and Social Liberty</a><br />
<a href="../2010/08/04/constitution-corruption-original-meaning-and-restoration/" target="_blank">The Constitution: Original Meaning, Corruption, and Restoration</a><br />
<a href="../2009/08/06/negative-rights/" target="_blank">Negative Rights</a><br />
<a href="../2009/08/19/negative-rights-social-norms-and-the-constitution/" target="_blank">Negative Rights, Social Norms, and the Constitution</a><br />
<a href="../2009/08/29/the-devolution-of-american-politics-from-wisdom-to-opportunism/" target="_blank">The Devolution of American Politics from Wisdom to Opportunism</a><br />
<a href="../2010/03/08/the-near-victory-of-communism/" target="_blank">The Near-Victory of Communism</a><br />
<a href="../2010/04/27/tocquevilles-prescience/" target="_blank">Tocqueville’s Prescience</a><br />
<a href="../2010/05/18/accountants-of-the-soul/" target="_blank">Accountants of the Soul</a><br />
<a href="../2010/05/19/invoking-hitler/" target="_blank">Invoking Hitler</a><br />
<a href="../2010/07/06/rawls-meets-bentham/" target="_blank">Rawls Meets Bentham</a><br />
<a href="../2010/07/15/the-left/" target="_blank">The Left</a><br />
<a href="../2010/08/27/enough-of-social-welfare/" target="_blank">Enough of “Social Welfare”</a><br />
<a href="../2010/08/28/a-true-flat-tax/" target="_blank">A True Flat Tax</a><br />
<a href="../2010/08/31/the-case-of-the-purblind-economist/" target="_blank">The Case of the Purblind Economist</a><br />
<a href="../2010/09/04/youthful-wisdom/" target="_blank">Youthful Wisdom</a><br />
<a href="../2010/09/29/divine-right-of-the-majority/" target="_blank">The Divine Right of the Majority</a><br />
<a href="../2010/11/29/our-enemy-the-state/" target="_blank">Our Enemy, the State</a><br />
<a href="../2011/02/12/social-justice/" target="_blank">Social Justice</a><br />
<a href="../2011/03/19/taxing-the-rich/" target="_blank">Taxing the Rich</a><br />
<a href="../2011/03/22/more-about-taxing-the-rich/" target="_blank">More about Taxing the Rich</a><br />
<a href="../2011/03/25/positive-liberty-vs-liberty/" target="_blank">Positive Liberty vs. Liberty</a><br />
<a href="../2011/03/30/more-social-justice/" target="_blank">More Social Justice</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/30/luck-egalitarianism-and-moral-luck/" target="_blank">Luck-Egalitarianism and Moral Luck</a><br />
<a href="../2011/09/06/nature-is-unfair/" target="_blank">Nature Is Unfair</a><br />
<a href="../2011/09/22/elizabeth-warren-is-all-wet/" target="_blank">Elizabeth Warren Is All Wet</a><br />
<a href="../2011/10/23/occupy-wall-street-and-religion/" target="_blank">“Occupy Wall Street” and Religion</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/07/merit-goods-positive-rights-and-cosmic-justice/" target="_blank">Merit Goods, Positive Rights, and Cosmic Justice</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/09/more-about-merit-goods/" target="_blank">More about Merit Goods</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/17/what-is-bleeding-heart-libertarianism/" target="_blank">What Is Bleeding-Heart Libertarianism?</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/21/the-morality-of-occupying-private-property/" target="_blank">The Morality of Occupying Private Property</a></p>
<p>* For more about the impoverishing effects of government, see the <a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/24/estimating-the-rahn-curve-a-sequel/" target="_blank">preceding post</a> and follow the links at the bottom of that post.</p>
<br />Filed under: <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/category/political-economy-civil-society/'>Political Economy &amp; Civil Society</a>, <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/category/political-movements-theories/'>Political Movements &amp; Theories</a> Tagged: <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/inequality/'>inequality</a>, <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/soft-despotism/'>soft despotism</a>, <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/the-1/'>the 1%</a>, <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/the-99/'>the 99%</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6790/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6790/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6790/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6790/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6790/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6790/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6790/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6790/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6790/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6790/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6790/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6790/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6790/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6790/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9278836&amp;post=6790&amp;subd=politicsandprosperity&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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			<media:title type="html">Tom</media:title>
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		<title>Estimating the Rahn Curve: A Sequel</title>
		<link>http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/24/estimating-the-rahn-curve-a-sequel/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Jan 2012 21:49:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Thomas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics - Fundamentals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics - Growth & Decline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[deficit spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[econmic growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[government spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rahn Curve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stimulus]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/?p=6776</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In &#8220;Estimating the Rahn Curve: Or, How Government Inhibits Economic Growth&#8221; I note that maximum GDP growth occurs when government spends two to four percent of GDP. The two-to-four percent range represents the share of GDP claimed by American governments (federal, State, and local) throughout most of the 19th century, when government spending exceeded five [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9278836&amp;post=6776&amp;subd=politicsandprosperity&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In &#8220;<a href="../2011/05/01/2010/11/10/estimating-the-rahn-curve/">Estimating the Rahn Curve: Or, How Government Inhibits Economic Growth</a>&#8221; I note that maximum GDP growth occurs when government spends two to four percent of GDP. The two-to-four percent range represents the share of GDP claimed by American governments (federal, State, and local) throughout most of the 19th century, when government spending exceeded five percent of GDP only during the Civil War.</p>
<p>Of course, until the early part of the 20th century, when Progressivism began to make itself felt in Americans&#8217; tax bills, governments restricted themselves (in the main) to the functions of national defense, public order, and safety &#8212; the terms used in national-income accounting. It is those functions &#8212; hereinafter called defense and justice &#8212; that foster liberty and economic growth because they protect peaceful, voluntary activity. Effective protection probably would cost more than four percent of GDP in these parlous times. But an adequate figure, except in the rare event of a major war, is probably no more than seven percent of GDP &#8212; the value for 2010, which includes the cost of fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan.</p>
<p>In any event, government spending &#8212; even on defense and justice &#8212; is impossible without private economic activity. It is that activity which yields the wherewithal for the provision of defense and justice. Once those things have been provided, the further diversion of resources by government is economically destructive. Specifically, from &#8220;Estimating the Rahn Curve&#8221;:</p>
<blockquote><p>It is possible to obtain a rough estimate of the downward sloping portion of the Rahn curve by focusing on two eras: the post-Civil War years 1866-1890 — before the onset of “progressivism,” with its immediate and strong negative effects — and the post-WWII years 1946-2009. Thus:</p>
<p><a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2010/11/10/estimating-the-rahn-curve/est-rahn-curve-rough-sketch-8/" rel="attachment wp-att-6614"><img title="Est Rahn curve rough sketch" src="http://politicsandprosperity.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/est-rahn-curve-rough-sketch7.jpg?w=630&#038;h=439&#038;h=439" alt="" width="630" height="439" /></a></p>
<p>My rough estimate is appropriately “fuzzy” and somewhat more generous than Daniel Mitchell’s [in “<a href="http://www.heritage.org/Research/Reports/2005/03/The-Impact-of-Government-Spending-on-Economic-Growth" target="_blank">The Impact of Government Spending on Economic Growth</a>”], which is indicated by the heavy black line. In light of my discussion of the shifting composition of G as G/GDP becomes relatively large, I  have followed the slope of the trend line for 1792-2010; that is, every 1 percentage-point increase in G/GDP yields a decrease in the growth rate of about 0.06 percent. That seemingly small effect becomes a huge one when G/GDP rises over a long period of time (as has been the case for more than a century, with no end in sight).</p></blockquote>
<p>The following graphs offer another view of the devastation wrought by the growth of government spending &#8212; and regulation. (Sources are given in &#8220;Estimating the Rahn Curve.&#8221;) I begin with the share of GDP which is <em>not</em> spent by government:</p>
<p><a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/24/estimating-the-rahn-curve-a-sequel/est-rahn-curve-sequel_priv-gdp-as-pct-total-gdp/" rel="attachment wp-att-6779"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-6779" title="Est Rahn curve sequel_priv GDP as pct total GDP" src="http://politicsandprosperity.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/est-rahn-curve-sequel_priv-gdp-as-pct-total-gdp.jpg?w=630&#038;h=431" alt="" width="630" height="431" /></a></p>
<p>A note about my measure of government spending is in order. National-income accounting purists would insist that transfer payments (mainly Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid) should not count as spending, even though I count them as such. But what does it matter whether money is taken from taxpayers and given to retired persons (as Social Security) or to government employees (as salary and benefits) or contractors (as reimbursement for products and services delivered to government)? All government spending represents the transfer of claims on resources from persons who earned those claims to other persons, who either did something of questionable value for the money (government employees and contractors) or nothing (e.g., retirees).</p>
<p>In any event, it is obvious that Americans enjoyed minimal government until the early 1900s, and have since &#8220;enjoyed&#8221; a vast expansion of government. Here is a closer look at the trend from 1900 onward:</p>
<p><a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/24/estimating-the-rahn-curve-a-sequel/est-rahn-curve-sequel_private-gdp-pct-total-gdp-since-1900/" rel="attachment wp-att-6782"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-6782" title="Est Rahn curve sequel_private GDP pct total GDP since 1900" src="http://politicsandprosperity.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/est-rahn-curve-sequel_private-gdp-pct-total-gdp-since-1900.jpg?w=630&#038;h=431" alt="" width="630" height="431" /></a></p>
<p>This is a good point at which to note that the expansion of government is understated by the growth of government spending, which only imperfectly captures the effects of the rapidly growing regulatory burden on America&#8217;s economy. The combined effects of government spending and regulation can be seen in this &#8220;before&#8221; and &#8220;after&#8221; depiction of growth rates:</p>
<p><a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/24/estimating-the-rahn-curve-a-sequel/est-rahn-curve-sequel_growth-rate-of-private-gdp/" rel="attachment wp-att-6783"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-6783" title="Est Rahn curve sequel_growth rate of private GDP" src="http://politicsandprosperity.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/est-rahn-curve-sequel_growth-rate-of-private-gdp.jpg?w=630&#038;h=431" alt="" width="630" height="431" /></a></p>
<p>(I omitted the major wars and the Great Depression because their inclusion would give an exaggerated view of economic growth in the aftermath of abnormally suppressed private economic activity.)</p>
<p>The marked diminution of growth  after 1900 has led to what I call America&#8217;s Mega-Depression. Note the similarity between the downward path of private sector GDP (two graphs earlier) and the downward path of the Mega-Depression in the following graph:</p>
<p><a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/24/estimating-the-rahn-curve-a-sequel/est-rahn-curve-sequel_mega-depression/" rel="attachment wp-att-6784"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-6784" title="Est Rahn curve sequel_mega-depression" src="http://politicsandprosperity.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/est-rahn-curve-sequel_mega-depression.jpg?w=630&#038;h=431" alt="" width="630" height="431" /></a></p>
<p>What is the Mega-Depression? It is a measure of the degree to which real GDP has fallen below what it would have been had economic growth continued at its post-Civil War pace. As I explain <a href="../2009/05/25/the-price-of-government/" target="_blank">here</a>, the Mega-Depression began in the early 1900s, when the economy began to sag under the weight of <a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2004/11/calling-thing-what-it-is.html">Progressivism</a> (e.g., <a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2006/02/monopoly-and-general-welfare.html">trust-busting</a>, <a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2006/01/risk-and-regulation.html">regulation</a>, <a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2007/09/quantifying-laffer-curve.html">the income tax</a>, <a href="../2010/04/19/2009/08/23/the-fed-and-business-cycles/">the</a> <a href="../2010/04/19/2009/03/11/mr-greenspan-doth-protest-too-much/">Fed</a>). Then came the New Deal, whose interventions provoked and prolonged the Great Depression (see, for example, <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122576077569495545.html">this</a>, and <a href="http://www.hoover.org/publications/policyreview/3476271.html">this</a>). From the New Deal and the Great Society arose the massive anti-market/initiative-draining/dependency-promoting schemes known as Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. The extension and expansion of those and other intrusive government programs has continued unto the present day (e.g., <a href="../2010/03/22/obamacare/" target="_blank">Obamacare</a>), with the result that our lives and livelihoods are hemmed in by mountains of regulatory restrictions.</p>
<p>Regulation aside, government spending &#8212; except for defense and justice &#8212; is counterproductive. Not only does it <a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2011/07/21/the-keynesian-fallacy-and-regime-uncertainty/" target="_blank">fail</a> to stimulate the economy in the short run, but it also robs the economy of the <a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2011/12/07/why-are-interest-rates-so-low/" target="_blank">investments</a> that are needed for long-run growth.</p>
<p>Related posts:<br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2009/04/01/a-social-security-reader/" target="_blank">A Social Security Reader</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2009/05/25/the-price-of-government/" target="_blank">The Price of Government</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2009/08/23/the-commandeered-economy/" target="_blank">The Commandeered Economy</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2009/07/27/rationing-and-health-care/" target="_blank">Rationing and Health Care</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2009/09/12/the-perils-of-nannyism-the-case-of-obamacare/" target="_blank">The Perils of Nannyism: The Case of Obamacare</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2009/09/15/the-price-of-government-redux/" target="_blank">The Price of Government Redux</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2009/10/09/more-about-the-perils-of-obamacare/" target="_blank">More about the Perils of Obamacare</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2009/10/18/health-care-reform-the-short-of-it/" target="_blank">Health-Care Reform: The Short of It</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2010/04/19/the-mega-depression/" target="_blank">The Mega-Depression</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2010/04/27/presidential-chutzpah/" target="_blank">Presidential Chutzpah</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2010/05/10/as-goes-greece/" target="_blank">As Goes Greece</a><br />
<a href="../2010/06/05/ricardian-equivalence-reconsidered/" target="_blank">Ricardian Equivalence Reconsidered</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2010/06/08/real-burden-of-government/" target="_blank">The Real Burden of Government</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2010/06/28/toward-a-risk-fre-economy/" target="_blank">Toward a Risk-Free Economy</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2010/07/07/the-rahn-curve-at-work/" target="_blank">The Rahn Curve at Work</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2010/10/08/the-illusion-of-prosperity-and-stability/" target="_blank">The Illusion of Prosperity and Stability</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2010/10/27/the-forthcoming-financial-collapse/" target="_blank">The “Forthcoming Financial Collapse”</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2010/11/10/estimating-the-rahn-curve/">Estimating the Rahn Curve: Or, How Government Inhibits Economic Growth</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2010/11/12/the-deficit-commissions-deficit-of-understanding/">The Deficit Commission’s Deficit of Understanding</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2010/11/13/undermining-the-free-society/" target="_blank">Undermining the Free Society</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2010/12/04/the-bowles-simpson-report/" target="_blank">The Bowles-Simpson Report</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2010/12/08/the-bowles-simpson-band-aid/" target="_blank">The Bowles-Simpson Band-Aid</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2011/01/06/build-it-and-they-will-pay/" target="_blank">Build It and They Will Pay</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2011/01/18/government-vs-community/" target="_blank">Government vs. Community</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2011/02/06/the-stagnation-thesis/" target="_blank">The Stagnation Thesis</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2011/02/12/social-justice/" target="_blank">Social Justice</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2011/03/19/taxing-the-rich/" target="_blank">Taxing the Rich</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2011/03/22/more-about-taxing-the-rich/" target="_blank">More about Taxing the Rich</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/2011/03/30/more-social-justice/" target="_blank">More Social Justice</a><br />
<a href="../2011/04/16/the-evil-that-is-done-with-good-intentions/" target="_blank">The Evil That Is Done with Good Intentions</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/01/americas-financial-crisis-is-now/" target="_blank">America’s Financial Crisis Is Now</a><br />
<a href="../2011/06/11/money-credit-and-economic-fluctuations/" target="_blank">Money, Credit, and Economic Fluctuations</a><br />
<a href="../2011/07/10/a-keynesian-fantasy-land/" target="_blank">A Keynesian Fantasy Land</a><br />
<a href="../2011/07/13/tax-expenditures-are-not-expenditures/" target="_blank">“Tax Expenditures” Are Not Expenditures</a><br />
<a href="../2011/07/21/the-keynesian-fallacy-and-regime-uncertainty/" target="_blank">The Keynesian Fallacy and Regime Uncertainty</a><br />
<a href="../2011/08/01/the-great-recession-is-not-over/" target="_blank">The Great Recession Is Not Over</a><br />
<a href="../2011/08/31/why-the-stimulus-failed-to-stimulate/" target="_blank">Why the “Stimulus” Failed to Stimulate</a><br />
<a href="../2011/09/09/the-jobs-speech-that-obama-should-have-given/" target="_blank">The “Jobs Speech” That Obama Should Have Given</a><br />
<a href="../2011/10/08/regime-uncertainty-and-the-great-recession/" target="_blank">Regime Uncertainty and the Great Recession</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/04/vulgar-keynesianism-and-capitalism/" target="_blank">Vulgar Keynesianism and Capitalism</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/07/why-are-interest-rates-so-low/" target="_blank">Why Are Interest Rates So Low?</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/14/dont-just-stand-there-do-something/" target="_blank">Don’t Just Stand There, “Do Something”</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/23/economic-growth-since-world-war-ii/" target="_blank">Economic Growth Since World War II</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/24/the-commandeered-economy-2/" target="_blank">The Commandeered Economy</a></p>
<br />Filed under: <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/category/economics-fundamentals/'>Economics - Fundamentals</a>, <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/category/economics-growth-decline/'>Economics - Growth &amp; Decline</a> Tagged: <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/deficit-spending/'>deficit spending</a>, <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/econmic-growth/'>econmic growth</a>, <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/government-spending/'>government spending</a>, <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/rahn-curve/'>Rahn Curve</a>, <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/stimulus/'>stimulus</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6776/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6776/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6776/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6776/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6776/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6776/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6776/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6776/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6776/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6776/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6776/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6776/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6776/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6776/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9278836&amp;post=6776&amp;subd=politicsandprosperity&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Another Entry in the Sunstein Saga</title>
		<link>http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/20/another-entry-in-the-sunstein-saga/</link>
		<comments>http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/20/another-entry-in-the-sunstein-saga/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Jan 2012 03:08:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Thomas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Rule of Law]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cass Sunstein]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[freedom of speech]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/?p=6765</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Alec Rawls, writing at his blog, Error Theory: As Congress considers vastly expanding the power of copyright holders to shut down fair use of their intellectual property, this is a good time to remember the other activities that Obama&#8217;s &#8220;regulatory czar&#8221; Cass Sunstein wants to shut down using the tools of copyright protection. For a [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9278836&amp;post=6765&amp;subd=politicsandprosperity&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Alec Rawls, <a href="http://errortheory.blogspot.com/2012/01/regulatory-czar-wants-to-use-copyright.html" target="_blank">writing</a> at his blog, <a href="http://errortheory.blogspot.com/" target="_blank"><em>Error Theory</em></a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>As Congress considers vastly expanding the power of copyright holders to shut down fair use of their intellectual property, this is a good time to remember the other activities that Obama&#8217;s &#8220;regulatory czar&#8221; Cass Sunstein wants to shut down using the tools of copyright protection. For a couple of years now, Sunstein has been advocating that the &#8220;notice and take down&#8221; model from copyright law should be used against rumors and conspiracy theories, &#8220;to achieve <a href="http://www.law.harvard.edu/news/spotlight/constitutional-law/sunstein-chair-lecture.html">the optimal chilling effect</a>.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>Why?</p>
<blockquote><p>Sunstein seems most intent on suppressing is the accusation, leveled during the 2008 election campaign, that Barack Obama &#8220;pals around with terrorists.&#8221; (&#8220;Look Inside&#8221; <a href="http://www.amazon.com/dp/0809094738#_">page 3</a>.) Sunstein fails to note that the &#8220;palling around with terrorists&#8221; language was introduced by the opposing vice presidential candidate, Governor <a href="http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/10/04/palin-obama-is-palling-around-with-terrorists/">Sarah Palin</a> (who was implicating Obama&#8217;s relationship with domestic terrorist Bill Ayers). Instead Sunstein focuses his ire on &#8220;right wing websites&#8221; that make &#8220;hateful remarks about the alleged relationship between Barack Obama and the former radical Bill Ayers,&#8221; singling out Sean Hannity for making hay out of Obama&#8217;s &#8220;alleged associations&#8221; (pages 13-14).</p>
<p>What could possibly be more important than whether a candidate for president does indeed &#8220;pal around with terrorists&#8221;? Of all the subjects to declare off limits, this one is right up there with whether the anti-CO2 alarmists who are trying to unplug the modern world are telling the truth. And Sunstein&#8217;s own bias on the matter could hardly be more blatant. Bill Ayers is a &#8220;former&#8221; radical? Bill &#8220;<a href="http://sweetness-light.com/archive/bill-ayers-911-piece-we-didnt-do-enough">I don’t regret setting bombs</a>&#8221; Ayers? Bill &#8220;we didn&#8217;t do enough&#8221; Ayers?</p>
<p>For the facts of the Obama-Ayers relationship, Sunstein apparently accepts Obama&#8217;s campaign dismissal of Ayers as just &#8220;<a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cGBYweUSbFY&amp;feature=related">a guy who lives in my neighborhood</a>.&#8221; In fact their relationship was long and deep. Obama&#8217;s political career was <a href="http://freedomslighthouse.net/2011/11/29/new-video-shows-what-obama-has-long-denied-william-ayers-admitting-he-held-an-obama-fundraiser-in-his-home-at-launch-of-obamas-political-career-video/">launched</a> <em>via</em> a fundraiser in Bill Ayers&#8217; living room; Obama was appointed the first chairman of the Ayers-founded Annenberg Challenge, almost certainly <a href="http://02ce1ab.netsolhost.com/KingHarvest/?p=373">at Ayers&#8217; request</a>; Ayers and Obama served together on the board of the Woods Foundation, distributing money to <a href="http://web.archive.org/web/20081028153512/http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/10/27/obamas-education-groups-funded-controversial-organiations-s-tax-returns/"> radical left-wing causes</a>; and it has now been <a href="http://thekansascitian.blogspot.com/2009/09/new-evidence-suggests-ayers-had.html">reported</a> by full-access White House biographer Christopher Andersen (and <a href="http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2011/03/video-bill-ayers-admits-again-he-wrote-obamas-first-book/">confirmed</a> by Bill Ayers) that Ayers actually ghost wrote Obama&#8217;s first book <em>Dreams from My Father</em>.</p>
<p>Whenever free speech is attacked, the real purpose is to cover up the truth. Not that Sunstein himself knows the truth about anything. He just knows what he wants to suppress, which is exactly why government must never have this power.</p></blockquote>
<p>As Rawls notes, Sunstein also wants to protect &#8220;warmists&#8221; from their critics, that is, to suppress science in the name of science:</p>
<blockquote><p>In climate science, there is no avoiding &#8220;reference to the machinations of powerful people, who have also managed to conceal their role.&#8221; The Team has always been sloppy about concealing its machinations, but that doesn&#8217;t stop Sunstein from using climate skepticism as an exemplar of pernicious conspiracy theorizing, and his goal is perfectly obvious: he wants the state to take aggressive action that will make it <em>easier</em> for our powerful government funded scientists to conceal their machinations.</p></blockquote>
<p>Rawls&#8217;s thesis is entirely unsurprising to me. This is from &#8220;<a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2009/04/23/fascism-with-a-friendly-face/" target="_blank">Fascism with a Friendly Face</a>,&#8221; a post I wrote almost three years ago:</p>
<blockquote><p>Regarding the suppression of dissent, it is noteworthy that Obama’s has tagged Cass <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cass_Sunstein">Sunstein</a> (a Chicago crony) to head the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs in the White House. (See <a href="http://www.prospect.org/cs/articles?article=the_radical_minimalist">this article</a> for more about the likely direction of OIRA under Sunstein.) My biggest concern about Sunstein, who figures to be a strong influence on Obama, is his embrace of the oxymoronical thing known as “libertarian paternalism.” (For an exposition of its flaws, see <a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2006/10/apropos-paternalism.html">this post</a> and its predecessors, linked therein.)</p>
<p>“Libertarian paternalism” is nothing more than a dressed-up version of paternalism, in which the government is used to “nudge” people toward making the kinds of decisions that Sunstein and his ilk would make. That is to say, Sunstein (like too many other bright individuals) likes to believe that he knows what’s best for others. (That conceit is demolished in the posts mentioned at the end of the preceding paragraph and in <a href="http://agoraphilia.blogspot.com/2006/06/iud-for-iucs.html">these</a> <a href="http://agoraphilia.blogspot.com/2006/07/iuc-in-icu.html">posts</a> by an avowed utilitarian.)</p>
<p>“Libertarian paternalism” may seem innocuous, but there’s more to it than a bit of “nudging” (hah!) by the one-ton gorilla in the room (i.e., the federal government). Perhaps the most frightening item on Sunstein’s paternalistic agenda ties into Sen. Rockefeller’s proposal to give the president the power to shut down the internet — which amounts to the power to control the content of the internet. And make no mistake about it, Sunstein would like to control the content of the internet — for our own good, of course. I refer specifically to Sunstein’s “<a href="http://www.littlemag.com/mar-apr01/cass.html">The Future of Free Speech</a>,” in which he advances several policy proposals, including these:</p>
<blockquote><p>4. . . . [T]he government might impose “must carry” rules on the most popular Websites, designed to ensure more exposure to substantive questions. Under such a program, viewers of especially popular sites would see an icon for sites that deal with substantive issues in a serious way. They would not be required to click on them. But it is reasonable to expect that many viewers would do so, if only to satisfy their curiosity. The result would be to create a kind of Internet sidewalk, promoting some of the purposes of the public forum doctrine. Ideally, those who create Websites might move in this direction on their own. If they do not, <em><strong>government should explore possibilities of imposing requirements of this kind,</strong></em> making sure that no program draws invidious lines in selecting the sites whose icons will be favoured. Perhaps a lottery system of some kind could be used to reduce this risk.</p>
<p>5. The <strong><em>government might impose “must carry” rules on highly partisan Websites, designed to ensure that viewers learn about sites containing opposing views.</em></strong> This policy would be designed to make it less likely for people to simply hear echoes of their own voices. Of course, many people would not click on the icons of sites whose views seem objectionable; but some people would, and in that sense the system would not operate so differently from general interest intermediaries and public forums. Here too the ideal situation would be voluntary action. But if this proves impossible, it is worth considering regulatory alternatives. [Emphasis added.]</p></blockquote>
<p>A Left-libertarian <a href="http://www.juliansanchez.com/2009/04/30/lying-about-cass-sunstein/">defends</a> Sunstein’s foray into thought control, concluding that</p>
<blockquote><p>Sunstein once thought some profoundly dumb policies might be worth considering, but realized years ago he was wrong about that… The idea was a tentative, speculative suggestion he now condemns in pretty strong terms.</p></blockquote>
<p>Alternatively, in the face of severe criticism of his immodest proposal, Sunstein merely went underground, to await an opportunity to revive his proposal. I somehow doubt that Sunstein, as a confirmed paternalist, truly abandoned it. The proposal certainly was not off-the-cuff, running to 11 longish web pages.  Now, judging by the bulleted list above, the time is right for a revival of Sunstein’s proposal. And there he is, heading the Office of Information and <strong>Regulatory</strong> Affairs. The powers of that office supposedly are constrained by the <a href="http://govinfo.library.unt.edu/npr/library/direct/orders/2646.html">executive order</a> that established it. But it is evident that the Obama adminstration isn’t bothered by legal niceties when it comes to the exercise of power. Only a few pen strokes stand between Obama and a new, sweeping executive order, the unconstitutionality of which would be of no import to our latter-day FDR.</p></blockquote>
<p>Cass Sunstein is a dangerous man because he is intelligent, power-hungry, and overtly in favor of liberty, even as he fosters its demise.</p>
<p style="text-align:center;">*   *   *</p>
<p>Related posts:<br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2004/06/sunstein-at-volokh-conspiracy.html">Sunstein at the Volokh Conspiracy</a><br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2004/06/more-from-sunstein.html">More from Sunstein</a><br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2004/06/cass-sunsteins-truly-dangerous-mind.html">Cass Sunstein’s Truly Dangerous Mind</a><br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2004/06/imaginary-interview-with-cass-sunstein.html">An (Imaginary) Interview with Cass Sunstein</a><br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2005/04/libertarian-paternalism.html">Libertarian Paternalism</a><br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2005/05/slippery-sunstein.html">Slippery Sunstein</a><br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2005/05/libertarian-paternalists-dream-world.html">A Libertarian Paternalist&#8217;s Dream World</a><br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2005/06/short-answer-to-libertarian.html">The Short Answer to Libertarian Paternalism</a><br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2005/07/second-guessing-paternalism.html">Second-Guessing, Paternalism, Parentalism, and Choice</a><br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2005/08/another-thought-about-libertarian.html">Another Thought about Libertarian Paternalism</a><br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2006/01/back-door-paternalism.html">Back-Door Paternalism</a><br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2006/02/another-voice-against-new-paternalism.html">Another Voice Against the New Paternalism</a><br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2006/02/sunstein-and-executive-power.html">Sunstein and Executive Power</a><br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2006/08/feds-and-libertarian-paternalism.html">The Feds and “Libertarian Paternalism”</a><br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2006/09/further-note-about-libertarian.html">A Further Note about “Libertarian” Paternalism</a><br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2006/10/apropos-paternalism.html">Apropos Paternalism</a><br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2007/09/fdr-and-fascism.html">FDR and Fascism</a><br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2008/01/fascism.html">Fascism</a><br />
<a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2009/03/30/are-we-all-fascists-now/" target="_blank">Are We All Fascists Now?</a><br />
<a href="../2009/04/23/fascism-with-a-friendly-face/" target="_blank">Fascism with a “Friendly” Face</a><br />
<a href="../2009/06/21/fascism-and-the-future-of-america/" target="_blank">Fascism and the Future of America</a><br />
<a href="../2010/05/05/discounting-and-libertarian-paternalism/" target="_blank">Discounting and Libertarian Paternalism</a><br />
<a href="../2010/05/11/the-mind-of-a-paternalist/" target="_blank">The Mind of a Paternalist</a></p>
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		<title>Three Inglorious Years</title>
		<link>http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/20/three-inglorious-years/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Jan 2012 16:22:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Thomas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Electoral Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Net disapproval rating: percentage of likely voters strongly disapproving of BO, minus percentage of likely voters strongly approving of BO. Derived from Rasmussen Reports’ Daily Presidential Tracking Poll. Filed under: Electoral Politics Tagged: Obama<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9278836&amp;post=6760&amp;subd=politicsandprosperity&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/20/three-inglorious-years/obamas-net-disapproval_012009-012012/" rel="attachment wp-att-6761"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-6761" title="Obama's net disapproval_012009-012012" src="http://politicsandprosperity.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/obamas-net-disapproval_012009-012012.jpg?w=630&#038;h=365" alt="" width="630" height="365" /></a><br />
<em>Net disapproval rating: percentage of likely voters strongly disapproving of BO, minus percentage of likely voters strongly approving of BO. Derived from Rasmussen Reports’ <a href="http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll">Daily Presidential Tracking Poll</a>. </em></p>
<br />Filed under: <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/category/electoral-politics/'>Electoral Politics</a> Tagged: <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/obama/'>Obama</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6760/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6760/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6760/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6760/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6760/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6760/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6760/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6760/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6760/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6760/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6760/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6760/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6760/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6760/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9278836&amp;post=6760&amp;subd=politicsandprosperity&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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			<media:title type="html">Obama&#039;s net disapproval_012009-012012</media:title>
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		<title>Save Me from Self-Appointed Saviors</title>
		<link>http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/16/save-me-from-self-appointed-saviors/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Jan 2012 00:54:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Thomas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Electoral Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FDR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LBJ]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[politician as savior]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[TR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Woodrow Wilson]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[A recent NYT piece by Richard Zacks (&#8220;How Dry We Aren&#8217;t&#8220;) highlights the antics of Theodore Roosevelt: When Theodore Roosevelt was police commissioner [of New York City], from 1895 to 1897, he tried to stop the sales of beer, wine and liquor on Sundays in saloons. Men and women, who worked six days a week [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9278836&amp;post=6747&amp;subd=politicsandprosperity&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A recent <em>NYT</em> piece by Richard Zacks (&#8220;<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/14/opinion/a-new-anti-alcohol-campaign-in-new-york.html?emc=eta1" target="_blank">How Dry We Aren&#8217;t</a>&#8220;) highlights the antics of Theodore Roosevelt:</p>
<blockquote><p>When Theodore Roosevelt was police commissioner [of New York City], from 1895 to 1897, he tried to stop the sales of beer, wine and liquor on Sundays in saloons.</p>
<p>Men and women, who worked six days a week in that era, were not amused. New York State Sabbath laws already forbade attending sporting events or theater performances, or selling groceries, after 10 a.m. on Sundays; the excise laws also made it illegal to sell alcohol in bars, saloons and taverns all 24 hours of the Lord’s Day.</p>
<p>New Yorkers in droves defied that particular edict. (Sunday actually marked the barkeep’s biggest sales day.) Saloon owners handed a bribe to precinct cops who forwarded some loot to Tammany politicians, and the city’s thirsty could discreetly slip in the side doors of saloons. For almost 40 years, it was a popular pragmatic compromise.</p>
<p>Enter Roosevelt. Fearless and bullheaded, the new commissioner vowed to enforce the law, both to root out bribery in the Police Department and also to reunite families on Sundays&#8230;.</p>
<p>Roosevelt’s liquor crackdown backfired&#8230;. The city’s spirit of place, what Stephen Crane once dubbed New York’s “wild impulse,” refused to be tamed.</p>
<p>Theodore Roosevelt the reformer was deeply proud of his efforts to clean up New York but in his illustrious later days, running for governor, then for vice president, then president, he never won a majority vote in the city. Never take a beer away from a New Yorker.</p></blockquote>
<p>If only it were that easy to subvert the intentions of zealous office-holders.</p>
<p>In another recent <em>NYT</em> piece (&#8220;<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/13/opinion/brooks-the-ceo-in-politics.html?emc=eta1" target="_blank">The C.E.O. in Politics</a>&#8220;), David Brooks observes that</p>
<blockquote><p>great leaders tend to have an instrumental mentality. They do not feel the office is about them. They are just God’s temporary instrument in service of a larger cause. Lincoln felt he was God’s instrument in preserving the union. F.D.R. felt he was an instrument to help the common man and defeat fascism.</p></blockquote>
<p>Whatever FDR felt, he was not a great leader. Nor was his distant cousin, Teddy Roosevelt. What they shared with other so-called great leaders was overwhelming ego: the belief that their wishes should be everyone&#8217;s wishes. And, with the help of compliant Congresses and Supreme Courts, they made it so.</p>
<p>TR spoke and acted as if he were God&#8217;s instrument. As president, his aspiration to savior-hood led him to embrace Progressivism (e.g., trust-busting). His actions brought an end to 40 years of rapid economic growth, which &#8212; contrary to myth &#8212; had uplifted the masses as well as the &#8220;robber barons.&#8221; After a too-brief respite from dictatorship, under Taft, Woodrow Wilson (another &#8220;leader&#8221; who thought he was an instrument of God) extended the Progressive state, and economic growth slowed further.</p>
<p>The Great Depression, predictably enough, swept out Hoover, <a href="http://www.scribd.com/fullscreen/66681414" target="_blank">whose &#8220;do something&#8221; ethic turned a recession into a depression</a>, and brought in FDR, with his <a href="http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1851133,00.html?iid=digg_share" target="_blank">second-rate mind</a>. He soon enough began to think of himself as a savior, empowered (by perverse logic) to uplift the downtrodden by running roughshod over America&#8217;s businesses. What he accomplished, in fact, was a deeper and longer depression. (By contrast, the economy quickly rebounded from the deep recession of 1920-21 because &#8220;do nothing&#8221; Harding <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/warren-harding-curing-a-depression-through-austerity/2012/01/19/gIQA5VEsEQ_story.html" target="_blank">did nothing but encourage business</a>.) LBJ&#8217;s deliberate mimicking of FDR&#8217;s New Deal put in motion the Great Society, the aftermath of which has been economic growth on a par with that of the TR-Wilson era.</p>
<p>Now comes Barack Obama, a storefront version of TR, FDR, and LBJ. &#8220;Bush fatigue&#8221; elected him and presented him with a Democrat-controlled Congress. He took his luck for a kind of divine mandate, which he exploited to impose upon Americans his ruinous visions of universal health care, Keynesian deficit-spending, and defensive weakness (masked by the inconsequential if satisfying erasure of bin Laden).</p>
<p>God save us from &#8220;leaders&#8221; who want to be our saviors. For every Lincoln &#8212; whose principal legacy was the forcible stitching up of a union that has yet to heal &#8212; there are too many TRs, WWs, FDRs, LBJs, and BHOs.</p>
<p>Related posts:<br />
<a href="../2011/12/23/2009/05/25/the-price-of-government/" target="_blank">The Price of Government</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/23/2009/06/21/fascism-and-the-future-of-america/" target="_blank">Fascism and the Future of America</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/23/2009/07/02/the-indivisibility-of-economic-and-social-liberty/" target="_blank">The Indivisibility of Economic and Social Liberty</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/23/2009/09/15/the-price-of-government-redux/" target="_blank">The Price of Government Redux</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/23/2010/06/08/real-burden-of-government/" target="_blank">The Real Burden of Government</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/23/2010/10/08/the-illusion-of-prosperity-and-stability/" target="_blank">The Illusion of Prosperity and Stability</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/23/2010/04/19/the-mega-depression/" target="_blank">The Mega-Depression</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/23/2010/11/10/estimating-the-rahn-curve/">Estimating the Rahn Curve: Or, How Government Inhibits Economic Growth</a><br />
<a href="../2011/06/11/money-credit-and-economic-fluctuations/" target="_blank">Money, Credit, and Economic Fluctuations</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/23/2011/07/10/a-keynesian-fantasy-land/" target="_blank">A Keynesian Fantasy Land</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/23/2011/07/21/the-keynesian-fallacy-and-regime-uncertainty/" target="_blank">The Keynesian Fallacy and Regime Uncertainty</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/23/2011/08/31/why-the-stimulus-failed-to-stimulate/" target="_blank">Why the “Stimulus” Failed to Stimulate</a><br />
<a href="../2011/10/08/regime-uncertainty-and-the-great-recession/" target="_blank">Regime Uncertainty and the Great Recession</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/23/2011/10/13/regulation-as-wishful-thinking/" target="_blank">Regulation as Wishful Thinking</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/04/vulgar-keynesianism-and-capitalism/" target="_blank">Vulgar Keynesianism and Capitalism</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/07/why-are-interest-rates-so-low/" target="_blank">Why Are Interest Rates So Low?</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/14/dont-just-stand-there-do-something/" target="_blank">Don’t Just Stand There, “Do Something”</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/23/economic-growth-since-world-war-ii/" target="_blank">Economic Growth Since World War II</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/24/the-commandeered-economy-2/" target="_blank">The Commandeered Economy</a></p>
<br />Filed under: <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/category/electoral-politics/'>Electoral Politics</a> Tagged: <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/fdr/'>FDR</a>, <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/lbj/'>LBJ</a>, <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/obams/'>Obams</a>, <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/politician-as-savior/'>politician as savior</a>, <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/progressivism/'>progressivism</a>, <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/tr/'>TR</a>, <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/woodrow-wilson/'>Woodrow Wilson</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6747/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6747/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6747/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6747/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6747/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6747/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6747/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6747/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6747/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6747/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6747/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6747/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6747/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6747/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9278836&amp;post=6747&amp;subd=politicsandprosperity&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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			<media:title type="html">Tom</media:title>
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		<title>Stocks for the Long Run? (Part II)</title>
		<link>http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/10/stocks-for-the-long-run-part-ii/</link>
		<comments>http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/10/stocks-for-the-long-run-part-ii/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Jan 2012 01:19:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Thomas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics - Growth & Decline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stocks for the long run]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[In &#8220;Stocks for the Long Run?&#8221; I say that unless the course of the regulatory-welfare state is reversed, a prolonged downward shift in the real rate of GDP growth is in the works — probably to about 2 percent. At that rate, expect a continuation of the present trend [since 2000] — stock-price “growth” [adjusted [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9278836&amp;post=6676&amp;subd=politicsandprosperity&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In &#8220;<a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/01/stocks-for-the-long-run/" target="_blank">Stocks for the Long Run?</a>&#8221; I say that</p>
<blockquote><p>unless the course of the regulatory-welfare state is reversed, a prolonged downward shift in the real rate of GDP growth is in the works — probably to about 2 percent. At that rate, expect a continuation of the present trend [since 2000] — stock-price “growth” [adjusted for inflation] of about -4 percent a year.</p></blockquote>
<p>Be sure to note the minus sign in front of the 4.</p>
<p>Stocks are not bound to rise predictably over time, despite graphs like the next one, which I constructed from the data set cited in &#8220;Stocks for the Long Run?&#8221;. &#8220;Price&#8221; (the blue line) traces the real growth in the value of S&amp;P Composite Index; &#8220;price + dividends&#8221; (the orange line) traces real growth in the value of the S&amp;P Composite Index plus dividends paid on the stocks comprised in the index; &#8220;dividends reinvested&#8221; (the green line) traces the real value of the S&amp;P Composite Index if dividends had been reinvested in shares of the stocks comprised in the index (green line):</p>
<p><a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/01/stocks-for-the-long-run/sp-composite_real-price-growth-and-returns-since-jan-1871-2/" rel="attachment wp-att-6643"><img title="S&amp;P Composite_real price growth and returns since Jan 1871" src="http://politicsandprosperity.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/sp-composite_real-price-growth-and-returns-since-jan-18711.jpg?w=630&#038;h=369" alt="" width="630" height="369" /></a></p>
<p>From 1871 through 2010, the average annual increase in the value of the S&amp;P Composite, with dividends reinvested, was 6.7 percent. This kind of hypothetical long-term &#8220;return&#8221; is cited often as a reason for buying and holding stocks. But a real return of 6.7 percent is not graven in stone, as the following chart indicates.</p>
<p><a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/10/stocks-for-the-long-run-part-ii/sp-composite_cumulative-rates-of-real-price-growth-and-returns-since-jan-1871/" rel="attachment wp-att-6728"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-6728" title="S&amp;P Composite_cumulative rates of real price growth and returns since Jan 1871" src="http://politicsandprosperity.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/sp-composite_cumulative-rates-of-real-price-growth-and-returns-since-jan-1871.jpg?w=630&#038;h=368" alt="" width="630" height="368" /></a></p>
<p>After a period of decline in the early 1900s, the <em>cumulative</em> rate of return on the S&amp;P Composite, with dividends reinvested, dropped to 5.3 percent in 1920, jumped to 8.3 percent in 1929, plummeted to 5.4 percent in 1932, returned to 7.6 percent in 1966, dipped to 6.2 percent in 1982, climbed back to 7.4 percent in 2000, and (as noted above) dropped to 6.7 percent by the end of 2010. In other words, long-run averages can be moved considerably by short run bouts of what I call &#8220;irrational exuberance and rational pessimism.&#8221;</p>
<p>Moreover, as a practical matter, the buy-hold-reinvest strategy would not work if there were a massive influx of stock-buyers intent on buying, holding, and reinvesting dividends. They would be chasing illusory returns because massive purchases of stocks would not be rewarded (quickly, at least) by proportionate increases in corporate earnings, which is the main driver of stock prices in the long run. The more likely result would be a bubble &#8212; like those of the late 1920s and late 1990s &#8212; which would burst, leading to lower stock prices and a greater reluctance to invest in stocks.</p>
<p>More realistic measures of expected returns from buying and holding stocks are depicted by the &#8220;price&#8221; and &#8220;price + dividends&#8221; lines. At the end of 2010, the average annual real return on the S&amp;P Composite Index since 1871 was 2 percent. With dividends, the average annual real return was 2.3 percent. But almost no one &#8212; not even an institutional investor &#8212; is likely to hold stocks in the S&amp;P Composite Index for 140 years.</p>
<p>It makes sense, therefore, to consider shorter holding periods: 10, 20, and 30 years.</p>
<p><a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/01/stocks-for-the-long-run/sp-composite-returns_10-year/" rel="attachment wp-att-6646"><img title="S&amp;P composite returns_10 year" src="http://politicsandprosperity.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/sp-composite-returns_10-year.jpg?w=630&#038;h=369" alt="" width="630" height="369" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/01/stocks-for-the-long-run/sp-composite-returns_20-year/" rel="attachment wp-att-6647"><img title="S&amp;P composite returns_20 year" src="http://politicsandprosperity.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/sp-composite-returns_20-year.jpg?w=630&#038;h=369" alt="" width="630" height="369" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/01/stocks-for-the-long-run/sp-composite-returns_30-year/" rel="attachment wp-att-6648"><img title="S&amp;P composite returns_30 year" src="http://politicsandprosperity.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/sp-composite-returns_30-year.jpg?w=630&#038;h=369" alt="" width="630" height="369" /></a></p>
<p>If history is any guide, consistently positive real returns on stocks are available only to the relatively rare investor who adheres doggedly to the buy-hold-reinvest strategy for 20 years or longer.</p>
<p>But history is not a reliable guide because &#8212; unless the course of the regulatory-welfare state is reversed &#8212; the rate of GDP growth <a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2010/11/10/estimating-the-rahn-curve/" target="_blank">will continue to fall</a>, and stock prices are likely to fall in sympathy.</p>
<p>Related posts:<br />
<a href="../2012/01/01/2009/05/25/the-price-of-government/" target="_blank">The Price of Government</a><br />
<a href="../2012/01/01/2009/09/15/the-price-of-government-redux/" target="_blank">The Price of Government Redux</a><br />
<a href="../2012/01/01/2010/04/19/the-mega-depression/" target="_blank">The Mega-Depression</a><br />
<a href="../2012/01/01/2010/05/10/as-goes-greece/" target="_blank">As Goes Greece</a><br />
<a href="../2012/01/01/2010/06/08/real-burden-of-government/" target="_blank">The Real Burden of Government</a><br />
<a href="../2012/01/01/2010/10/08/the-illusion-of-prosperity-and-stability/" target="_blank">The Illusion of Prosperity and Stability</a><br />
<a href="../2012/01/01/2010/10/27/the-forthcoming-financial-collapse/" target="_blank">The “Forthcoming Financial Collapse”</a><br />
<a href="../2010/11/10/estimating-the-rahn-curve/" target="_blank">Estimating the Rahn Curve: Or, How Government Inhibits Economic Growth</a><br />
<a href="../2012/01/01/2010/11/12/the-deficit-commissions-deficit-of-understanding/">The Deficit Commission’s Deficit of Understanding</a><br />
<a href="../2012/01/01/2010/12/04/the-bowles-simpson-report/" target="_blank">The Bowles-Simpson Report</a><br />
<a href="../2012/01/01/2010/12/08/the-bowles-simpson-band-aid/" target="_blank">The Bowles-Simpson Band-Aid</a><br />
<a href="../2012/01/01/2011/02/06/the-stagnation-thesis/" target="_blank">The Stagnation Thesis</a><br />
<a href="../2012/01/01/2011/05/01/americas-financial-crisis-is-now/" target="_blank">America’s Financial Crisis Is Now</a><br />
<a href="../2012/01/01/2011/12/07/why-are-interest-rates-so-low/" target="_blank">Why Are Interest Rates So Low?</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/23/economic-growth-since-world-war-ii/" target="_blank">Economic Growth Since World War II</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/24/the-commandeered-economy-2/" target="_blank">The Commandeered Economy</a><br />
<a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/01/stocks-for-the-long-run/" target="_blank">Stocks for the Long Run?</a></p>
<br />Filed under: <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/category/economics-growth-decline/'>Economics - Growth &amp; Decline</a> Tagged: <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/economic-growth/'>economic growth</a>, <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/stocks-for-the-long-run/'>stocks for the long run</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6676/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6676/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6676/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6676/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6676/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6676/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6676/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6676/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6676/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6676/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6676/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6676/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6676/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6676/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9278836&amp;post=6676&amp;subd=politicsandprosperity&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Society and the State</title>
		<link>http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/04/society-and-the-state-ii/</link>
		<comments>http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/04/society-and-the-state-ii/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Jan 2012 04:04:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Thomas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Political Economy & Civil Society]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[diversity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[social justice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[society]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[state]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/?p=6714</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Michael Oakeshott writes: A modern state, as it emerged from a medieval realm, a patrimonial estate, a military protectorate, or a collection of colonial settlements, had three distinct features that it has never lost: an office of authority, an apparatus of power, and a mode of association&#8230;. &#8230;[S]ince a modern state has never ceased to [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9278836&amp;post=6714&amp;subd=politicsandprosperity&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Michael Oakeshott writes:</p>
<blockquote><p>A modern state, as it emerged from a medieval realm, a patrimonial estate, a military protectorate, or a collection of colonial settlements, had three distinct features that it has never lost: an office of authority, an apparatus of power, and a mode of association&#8230;.</p>
<p>&#8230;[S]ince a modern state has never ceased to be recognized as an association in the making, attention has always been directed to the sort of association it might be made to become no less than to what it may be perceived to be. But the exploration of this theme has been sadly hindered by confusion.</p>
<p>First, it is usually conducted in terms of the vocabularies of authority or of power, but in this connection these words are meaningless. To say, for example, that the conditions of association are or should be &#8220;democratic&#8221; is absurd&#8230;. [T]here are no &#8220;democratic &#8221; rules of relationships&#8230;. Secondly, this inquiry has been almost obliterated by drivel about something called &#8220;society,&#8221; a fanciful total of unspecified relationships which only a simpleton would think of identifying with a state. (&#8220;Talking Politics,&#8221; <em>Rationalism in Politics and Other Essays</em>, pp. 441, 450)</p></blockquote>
<p>There can be such a thing as &#8220;society,&#8221; but only in rare circumstances. And Oakeshott is correct when he says that only a simpleton would identify society with a state. But, as I will discuss, it is not only simpletons who identify society with a state but also cynical politicians and leftist opportunists.</p>
<p>With respect to society, I begin with Margaret Thatcher, who often is quoted as <a href="http://briandeer.com/social/thatcher-society.htm">saying</a> that “there is no such thing as society.” When Mrs. Thatcher said that, she was arguing against the entitlement mindset, as in ” ‘society’ owes me a roof over my head and three meals a day.” As she put it, “people must look to themselves first. It’s our duty to look after ourselves and then, also to look after our neighbor.”</p>
<p>There is, in fact, such a thing as society. But what is it? “Society” has <a href="http://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/society" target="_blank">many meanings</a>. This one rings truest:</p>
<blockquote><p><em>an enduring and cooperating social group whose members have developed organized patterns of relationships through interaction with one another</em></p></blockquote>
<p>In other words, the state is not society. The state — in the guise of a nation, a city, a village, etc. — may <a href="http://www2.timesdispatch.com/news/oped/2010/sep/28/ed-hinkle28-ar-528168/" target="_blank">compel certain behaviors</a>, including the transfer of one’s income to strangers. Compulsion by the state is the antithesis of societal cooperation.</p>
<p>There is, nevertheless, a tendency — especially on the part of leftists — to claim that the state represents and serves society. The claim is wrong:</p>
<ul>
<li>For the reasons given above, the identification of the state with society is nothing more than a rhetorical sleight-of-hand by which <a href="../2010/10/11/2009/06/08/utilitarianism-liberalism-and-omniscience/" target="_blank">utilitarians</a>, <a href="../2010/05/11/the-mind-of-a-paternalist/" target="_blank">paternalists</a>, do-gooders, politicians, and pundits justify the imposition of their preferences on the masses.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>The specific acts of the state often are malign rather than benign. See, for example, any of the 140 issues of <a href="http://www.cato.org/pubs/regulation/regultn_past_issues.html" target="_blank"><em>Regulation</em></a> that have been published to date. Moreover, acts of the state generally involve regulatory and tax burdens that, at once, stifle <a href="../2010/10/08/the-illusion-of-prosperity-and-stability/" target="_blank">prosperity</a> and <a href="../2009/07/02/the-indivisibility-of-economic-and-social-liberty/" target="_blank">liberty</a>.</li>
</ul>
<p>The fact of the matter is that the state destroys society in two ways. First, it usurps the functions served by society, most notably the functions of charity and <a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/03/the-equal-protection-scam-and-same-sex-marriage/" target="_blank">marriage</a>. Second, it compels certain kinds of behavior instead of allowing behavior to evolve cooperatively.</p>
<p>Two of the stated aims of compulsion are the advancement of &#8220;social justice&#8221; and “diversity.” The former is redistributionism, pure and simple. The latter forces social and economic interactions between persons of dissimilar cultures, religions, and races &#8212; to no good end.</p>
<p>&#8220;<a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2011/02/12/social-justice/" target="_blank">Social justice</a>&#8221; is usually</p>
<blockquote><p>code for redistributing income, either directly (through the taxing and spending power of government) or indirectly (through the power of government to require favoritism toward certain groups of persons). Make no mistake, there is no <strong><em>justice</em></strong>in “social justice,” which is nothing more than a euphemism for coercion by the state.</p>
<p>Social justice is possible only where there is a true society, not the bogus “society”  or “community” to which bleeding hearts and <a href="../2010/11/18/an-encounter-with-a-marxist/" target="_blank">statists</a> refer when they mean the United States or most of its political subdivisions — which have become nothing more than <a href="../2009/07/27/civil-society-and-law/" target="_blank">geopolitical prisons</a>.</p>
<p>A true society or community is one in which persons are bound by more than merely residing in the same nation, state, city, or other geographic entity. A true society is one whose members <strong><em>voluntarily</em></strong> commit acts of kindness and charity toward one another, as part of the social “bargain” that is known as <a href="../2010/12/24/the-golden-rule-and-the-state/" target="_blank">the Golden Rule</a>.</p>
<p>That “bargain” amounts to a delicate balance of self-interested and voluntarily beneficial behavior. The self-interested aspect of behavior is mutual forbearance — leaving others alone so that they will leave you alone. The voluntarily beneficial aspect is the commission of acts of kindness and charity. It is the latter that enables the former, because acts of kindness and charity help to build a true feeling of community by creating an atmosphere of mutual respect and trust.</p>
<p>Purveyors of “social justice” say that the voluntary arrangements of true communities are inadequate for the purpose of meeting this or that desideratum. Whence the desiderata? From the preconceptions of the purveyors of “social justice,” of course. They would substitute their “wisdom” for the wisdom that it embedded in voluntary social and economic arrangements. And they usually succeed because their arrogance incorporates a good measure of power-lust.</p>
<p>In sum, true social justice  is possible only in a voluntary community that is founded on mutual forbearance, respect, and trust. It cannot be found in the kind of forcible leveling that is favored by advocates of “social justice.” There is nothing just about coercion.</p></blockquote>
<p>“Diversity” — which encompasses and extends the state’s effort to force “equality” — is a case study in the state’s socially destructive power. In “<a href="http://www.boston.com/news/globe/ideas/articles/2007/08/05/the_downside_of_diversity/?page=full">The downside of diversity</a>,” at <em><a href="http://www.boston.com/">The Boston Globe</a></em>, Michael Jonas reports on a study by Harvard political scientist <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Putnam">Robert Putnam</a>, “<a href="http://www.google.com/url?url=http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download%3Fdoi%3D10.1.1.96.9010%26rep%3Drep1%26type%3Dpdf&amp;rct=j&amp;sa=U&amp;ei=zEKzTObJAcKAlAfd35nlDw&amp;ved=0CBEQFjAA&amp;q=%22E+Pluribus+Unum:+Diversity+and+Community+in+the+Twenty-first+Century%22&amp;usg=AFQjCNEkDYTKrcQGv9oM96BSx0I4QJICYA" target="_blank"><em>E Pluribus Unum</em>: Diversity and Community in the Twenty-first Century</a>.” Putnam, according to Jonas,</p>
<blockquote><p>has found that the greater the diversity in a community, the fewer people vote and the less they volunteer, the less they give to charity and work on community projects. In the most diverse communities, neighbors trust one another about half as much as they do in the most homogeneous settings. The study, the largest ever on civic engagement in America, found that virtually all measures of civic health are lower in more diverse settings.</p></blockquote>
<p>John Leo, writing at <em><a href="http://www.city-journal.org/">City Journal</a></em> (“<a href="http://www.city-journal.org/html/eon2007-06-25jl.html">Bowling with Our Own</a>“), first discusses Putnam’s findings; e.g.:</p>
<blockquote><p>Putnam’s study reveals that immigration and diversity not only reduce social capital between ethnic groups, but also within the groups themselves. Trust, even for members of one’s own race, is lower, altruism and community cooperation rarer, friendships fewer. The problem isn’t ethnic conflict or troubled racial relations, but withdrawal and isolation. Putnam writes: “In colloquial language, people living in ethnically diverse settings appear to ‘hunker down’—that is, to pull in like a turtle.”…</p>
<p>Neither age nor disparities of wealth explain this result. “Americans raised in the 1970s,” he writes, “seem fully as unnerved by diversity as those raised in the 1920s.” And the “hunkering down” occurred no matter whether the communities were relatively egalitarian or showed great differences in personal income. Even when communities are equally poor or rich, equally safe or crime-ridden, diversity correlates with less trust of neighbors, lower confidence in local politicians and news media, less charitable giving and volunteering, fewer close friends, and less happiness….</p></blockquote>
<p>Leo then discusses the fact that Putnam had delayed announcing his findings:</p>
<blockquote><p>Putnam has long been aware that his findings could have a big effect on the immigration debate. Last October, he told the <em>Financial Times</em> that “he had delayed publishing his research until he could develop proposals to compensate for the negative effects of diversity.” He said it “would have been irresponsible to publish without that,” a quote that should raise eyebrows. Academics aren’t supposed to withhold negative data until they can suggest antidotes to their findings…</p>
<p>Though Putnam is wary of what right-wing politicians might do with his findings, the data might give pause to those on the left, and in the center as well. If he’s right, heavy immigration will inflict social deterioration for decades to come, harming immigrants as well as the native-born. Putnam is hopeful that eventually America will forge a new solidarity based on a “new, broader sense of we.” The problem is how to do that in an era of multiculturalism and disdain for assimilation.</p></blockquote>
<p>Myron Magnet, also writing at <em>City Journal</em> (“<a href="http://www.city-journal.org/html/17_3_black_america.html">In the Heart of Freedom, in Chains</a>“), addresses “elite hypocrisy, gangsta culture, and failure in black America.” Magnet asks</p>
<blockquote><p>how can there still exist a large black urban underclass imprisoned in poverty, welfare dependency, school failure, nonwork, and crime? How even today can more black young men be entangled in the criminal-justice system than graduate from college? How can close to 70 percent of black children be born into single-mother families, which (almost all experts agree) prepare kids for success less well than two-parent families?</p></blockquote>
<p>And answers:</p>
<blockquote><p>The legacy of slavery and racism isn’t the reason….</p>
<p>Beginning around 1964, the rates of black high school graduation, workforce participation, crime, illegitimacy, and drug use all turned sharply in the wrong direction. While many blacks continued to move forward, a sizable minority solidified into an underclass, defined by self-destructive behavior that all but guaranteed failure.What was going on in the mid-sixties that could explain such a startling development? Political scientist Charles Murray gave the first answer to that question: welfare benefits sharply rose just at that moment. Offering more purchasing power than a minimum-wage job, the dole, he argued, provided an economic incentive for women to have out-of-wedlock babies and for their boyfriends to live off their welfare payments, too.</p>
<p>A decade after Murray, I suggested that, though welfare was part of the answer, the real explanation was larger. It was cultural, not economic. Begun by the elites, vast changes reshaped mainstream attitudes in the 1960s. Sex became fine outside marriage, and illegitimacy lost its stigma. Drugs were cool; social authority and tradition weren’t. America was deemed a racist, unjust society that victimized and impoverished blacks, who could rarely better their condition and who therefore deserved generous welfare benefits as reparations for past and present oppression. If blacks committed crime, the system that drove them to it, out of poverty or as an act of protest, was at fault: we shouldn’t blame the victim, as the saying went—meaning the poor criminal, not his prey. Since people shape their actions according to the ideas and beliefs they hold, when these new attitudes reached the inner cities, what could result but an epidemic of social dysfunction?</p></blockquote>
<p>“Diversity” — which was born of misplaced white guilt about slavery and racism — exemplifies the state’s long habit of adopting and magnifying the <a href="http://mjperry.blogspot.com/2010/10/how-diversity-punishes-asians-and-poor.html" target="_blank">destructive, anti-social consequences</a> of elite opinion.</p>
<p>&#8220;Social justice&#8221; and &#8220;diversity&#8221; &#8212; and the other leftist slogans that are meant to stifle resistance to statist oppression &#8212; have nothing to do with &#8220;society&#8221; and everything to do with the use of the state to coerce the many for the satisfaction of the few. And it does not stop there.</p>
<p>Read on:<br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2008/01/intellectuals-and-capitalism.html">Intellectuals and Capitalism</a><br />
<a href="../tag/2009/03/01/greed-cosmic-justice-and-social-welfare/" target="_blank">Greed, Cosmic Justice, and Social Welfare</a><br />
<a href="../tag/2009/03/03/positive-rights-and-cosmic-justice/" target="_blank">Positive Rights and Cosmic Justice</a><br />
<a href="../tag/2009/04/30/democracy-and-liberty/" target="_blank">Democracy and Liberty</a><br />
<a href="../tag/2009/07/02/the-indivisibility-of-economic-and-social-liberty/" target="_blank">The Indivisibility of Economic and Social Liberty</a><br />
<a href="../tag/2010/04/27/tocquevilles-prescience/" target="_blank">Tocqueville’s Prescience</a><br />
<a href="../tag/2010/05/18/accountants-of-the-soul/" target="_blank">Accountants of the Soul</a><br />
<a href="../tag/2010/08/02/down-with-we/" target="_blank">Down with “We”</a><br />
<a href="../tag/2010/09/29/divine-right-of-the-majority/" target="_blank">The Divine Right of the Majority</a><br />
<a href="../2010/10/28/i-want-my-country-back/" target="_blank">I Want My Country Back</a><br />
<a href="../tag/2010/11/18/an-encounter-with-a-marxist/" target="_blank">An Encounter with a Marxist</a><br />
<a href="../tag/2010/11/29/our-enemy-the-state/" target="_blank">Our Enemy, the State</a><br />
<a href="../2010/12/08/intellectuals-and-society-a-review/" target="_blank">“Intellectuals and Society”: A Review</a><br />
<a href="../tag/2011/02/12/social-justice/" target="_blank">Social Justice</a><br />
<a href="../2011/02/16/the-lefts-agenda/" target="_blank">The Left’s Agenda</a><br />
<a href="../tag/2011/03/09/the-meaning-of-liberty/" target="_blank">The Meaning of Liberty</a><br />
<a href="../tag/2011/03/25/positive-liberty-vs-liberty/" target="_blank">Positive Liberty vs. Liberty</a><br />
<a href="../tag/2011/03/30/more-social-justice/" target="_blank">More Social Justice</a><br />
<a href="../tag/2011/04/22/on-self-ownership-and-desert/" target="_blank">On Self-Ownership and Desert</a><br />
<a href="../tag/2011/05/30/luck-egalitarianism-and-moral-luck/" target="_blank">Luck-Egalitarianism and Moral Luck</a><br />
<a href="../2011/06/19/the-left-and-its-delusions/" target="_blank">The Left and Its Delusions</a><br />
<a href="../tag/2011/10/19/externalities-and-statism/" target="_blank">Externalities and Statism</a><br />
<a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2011/12/07/merit-goods-positive-rights-and-cosmic-justice/" target="_blank">Merit Goods, Positive Rights, and Cosmic Justice</a><br />
<a href="../2011/11/02/the-spoiled-children-of-capitalism/" target="_blank">The Spoiled Children of Capitalism</a><br />
<a href="../2011/11/07/politics-sophistry-and-the-academy/" target="_blank">Politics, Sophistry, and the Academy</a><br />
<a href="../2011/11/24/subsidizing-the-enemies-of-liberty/" target="_blank">Subsidizing the Enemies of Liberty</a><br />
<a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2011/12/09/more-about-merit-goods/" target="_blank">More about Merit Goods</a></p>
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		<title>The Equal-Protection Scam and Same-Sex Marriage</title>
		<link>http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/03/the-equal-protection-scam-and-same-sex-marriage/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Jan 2012 19:05:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Thomas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Cultural Commentary]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Steven Horwitz, writing at Bleeding Heart Libertarians, opines that In the world that exists, where the state is involved in marriage, I believe that&#8230;. Libertarianism requires  [federal recognition of same-sex marriage], as we often forget that the classical liberal tradition was built on two pillars: the rights of the individual against the state and equality [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9278836&amp;post=6712&amp;subd=politicsandprosperity&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Steven Horwitz, <a href="http://bleedingheartlibertarians.com/2012/01/a-challenge-for-libertarians-against-federal-recognition-of-same-sex-marriage/" target="_blank">writing</a> at <a href="http://bleedingheartlibertarians.com/" target="_blank"><em>Bleeding Heart Libertarians</em></a>, opines that</p>
<blockquote><p>In the world that exists, where the state <em>is</em> involved in marriage, I believe that&#8230;.</p>
<p>Libertarianism requires  [federal recognition of same-sex marriage], as we often forget that the classical liberal tradition was built on two pillars: the rights of the individual against the state and <a href="http://www.thefreemanonline.org/headline/the-other-principle-of-classical-liberalism/">equality before the law</a>. The state may not discriminate. If it offers a benefit to some, it must offer it to all who are equally situated&#8230;.</p>
<p>Suppose we had a Social Security system in which all residents of the US paid FICA but only white ones received the benefits. Would you argue that the libertarian position is to continue to deny people of color access to Social Security benefits on the grounds that giving the benefits to them would “extend federal power?” Would you continue to insist that the only libertarian position is to argue for the elimination of Social Security even though it continues to benefit only whites?</p></blockquote>
<p>Double hogwash!</p>
<p>First, homosexuals are not &#8220;equally situated&#8221; with respect to heterosexuals. They want to call &#8220;marriage&#8221; something that cannot be marriage, as marriage has been understood for thousands of years: the union of a man and a woman in a lifelong commitment to each other. Homosexuals may choose to enter into private relationships that they call &#8220;marriage&#8221; &#8212; and no one can stop them &#8212; but those relationships are not manifestations of the time-honored social institution known as marriage.</p>
<p>Second, the analogy with Social Security is inapt. The recognition of marriage by the state is not a &#8220;benefit&#8221; in the same way as Social Security; that is, it is not a form of remuneration based on &#8220;contributions&#8221; to a (fictional) insurance pool. Social Security benefits are a quid pro quo; the recognition of marriage is a grant of status, in the same way that naturalization is a grant of status &#8212; the status of citizen. The state may make and change the qualifications for citizenship, because the power to do so is inherently a function of the state. But the state may not make and change the essential nature of marriage, which is a social phenomenon.</p>
<p>Where the state chooses to call a homosexual &#8220;marriage&#8221; a marriage, it simply indulges in legal fiction. But it is not harmless legal fiction &#8212; a crucial point that eludes &#8220;libertarians&#8221; like Horwitz; <a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2011/05/26/in-defense-of-marriage/" target="_blank">thus</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>The recognition of homosexual “marriage” by the state — though innocuous to many, and an article of faith among most libertarians and liberals — is another step down the slippery slope of societal disintegration. The disintegration began in earnest in the 1930s, when Americans began to place their trust in chimerical, one-size-fits-all “solutions” offered by power-hungry, economically illiterate politicians and their “<a href="../2011/10/14/2010/12/08/intellectuals-and-society-a-review/" target="_blank">intellectual</a>” enablers and apologists. In this instance, the state will recognize homosexual “marriage,” then bestow equal  benefits on homosexual “partners,”  and then require private entities (businesses, churches, etc.) to grant equal benefits to homosexual “partnerships.” Individuals and businesses who demur will be brought to heel through the use of affirmative action and hate-crime legislation to penalize those who dare to speak against homosexual “marriage,” the privileges that flow from it, and the economic damage wrought by those privileges.</p>
<p>It should be evident to anyone who has watched American politics that even-handedness is not a matter of observing constitutional limits on government’s reach, regardless of who asks for an exception; it is, rather, a matter of expanding the privileges bestowed by government so that no one is excluded. It follows that the recognition and punitive enforcement of same-sex “marriage” would be followed by the recognition and bestowal of benefits on other arrangements, including transient “partnerships” of convenience. And that surely will weaken heterosexual marriage, which is the axis around which the family revolves. The state will be saying, in effect, “Anything goes. Do your thing. The courts, the welfare system, and the taxpayer — above all — will pick up the pieces.” And so it will go….</p>
<p>Given the signals being sent by the state, the rate of formation of traditional, heterosexual marriages will continue to decline. (<a href="http://www.census.gov/statab/hist/02HS0011.xls">According</a> to the Census Bureau, the percentage of adult males who are married dropped steadily from 71.1 percent in the 1960 census to 58.6 percent in the 2000 census; for females, the percentage dropped from 67.4 to 54.6. (The latest available figures, <a href="http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/2011/tables/11s0057.xls" target="_blank">for 2009</a>, show no significant change since 2000.) About half of each drop is explained by a rise in the percentage of adults who never marry, the other half by a rise in the percentage of divorced adults. Those statistics are what one should expect when the state signals — as it began to do increasingly after 1960 — that traditional marriage is no special thing by making it easier for couples to divorce, by subsidizing single mothers, and by encouraging women to work outside the home.</p>
<p>The well-known effects of such policies include higher rates of crime and lower levels of educational and economic achievement. (See <a href="http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-1393314/Divorce-permanently-harms-learning-affects-ability-make-friends.html" target="_blank">this</a> and <a href="http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2004878/Unmarried-parents-6-times-likely-split-time-child-5.html" target="_blank">this</a>, for example.) Same-sex marriage would multiply these effects for the sake of mollifying a small minority of the populace.</p></blockquote>
<p>A &#8220;libertarian&#8221; like Horwitz will assert that all such considerations are beside the point &#8212; as if the only point of liberty is &#8220;self-actualization&#8221; or similar clap-trap. I do wish that these self-styled &#8220;libertarians&#8221; would grow up and shut up.</p>
<p>Related posts:<br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2005/04/libertarianism-marriage-and-true.html">Libertarianism, Marriage, and the True Meaning of Family Values</a><br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2005/10/same-sex-marriage.html">Same-Sex Marriage</a><br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2005/10/equal-protection-and-homosexual.html">“Equal Protection” and Homosexual Marriage</a><br />
<a href="http://libertycorner.blogspot.com/2007/12/family-values-liberty-and-state.html">“Family Values,” Liberty, and the State</a><br />
<a href="../2011/10/14/2011/05/26/2009/02/08/on-liberty/" target="_blank">On Liberty</a><br />
<a href="../2011/10/14/2011/05/26/2009/05/24/civil-society-and-homosexual-marriage/" target="_blank">Civil Society and Homosexual “Marriage”</a><br />
<a href="../2011/10/14/2011/05/26/2010/08/04/perry-v-schwarzenegger-due-process-and-equal-protection/" target="_blank">Perry v. Schwarzenegger, Due Process, and Equal Protection</a><br />
<a href="../2011/10/14/2011/05/26/2010/08/13/rationalism-social-norms-and-same-sex-marriage/" target="_blank">Rationalism, Social Norms, and Same-Sex “Marriage”</a><br />
<a href="../2011/10/14/2011/05/26/2010/11/30/pseudo-libertarian-sophistry-vs-true-libertarianism/" target="_blank">Pseudo-Libertarian Sophistry vs. True Libertarianism</a><br />
<a href="../2011/10/14/2011/01/19/libertarian-conservative-or-conservative-libertarian/" target="_blank">Libertarian Conservative or Conservative Libertarian?</a><br />
<a href="../2011/10/14/2011/05/26/2011/02/03/liberty-equality-fraternity-part-i/">Liberty, Equality, Fraternity: Part I</a><br />
<a href="../2011/10/14/2011/05/26/2011/02/15/bounded-liberty-a-thought-experiment/" target="_blank">Bounded Liberty: A Thought Experiment</a><br />
<a href="../2011/10/14/2011/05/26/2011/02/25/more-pseudo-libertarianism/" target="_blank">More Pseudo-Libertarianism</a><br />
<a href="../2011/10/14/2011/05/26/2011/03/09/the-meaning-of-liberty/" target="_blank">The Meaning of Liberty</a><br />
<a href="../2011/10/14/2011/05/26/2011/03/25/positive-liberty-vs-liberty/" target="_blank">Positive Liberty vs. Liberty</a><br />
<a href="../2011/05/26/in-defense-of-marriage/" target="_blank">In Defense of Marriage</a><br />
<a href="../2011/08/09/burkean-libertarianism/" target="_blank">Burkean Libertarianism</a><br />
<a href="../2011/08/17/rights-source-applicability-how-held/" target="_blank">Rights: Source, Applicability, How Held</a><br />
<a href="../2011/09/06/what-is-libertarianism/" target="_blank">What Is Libertarianism?</a><br />
<a href="../2011/09/16/true-libertarianism-one-more-time/" target="_blank">True Libertarianism, One More Time</a><br />
<a href="../2011/09/21/human-nature-liberty-and-rationalism/" target="_blank">Human Nature, Liberty, and Rationalism</a><br />
<a href="http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2011/10/14/the-myth-that-same-sex-marriage-causes-no-harm/" target="_blank">The Myth That Same-Sex Marriage Causes No Harm</a><br />
<a href="../2011/11/12/the-libertarian-conservative-fusion-is-alive-and-well/" target="_blank">The Libertarian-Conservative Fusion Is Alive and Well</a><br />
<a href="../2011/12/17/what-is-bleeding-heart-libertarianism/" target="_blank">What Is Bleeding-Heart Libertarianism?</a></p>
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		<title>We Owe It to Ourselves</title>
		<link>http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/02/we-owe-it-to-ourselves/</link>
		<comments>http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/2012/01/02/we-owe-it-to-ourselves/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Jan 2012 05:26:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Thomas</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics - Fundamentals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[deficit spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[national debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Paul Krugman]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Don Boudreaux of Cafe Hayek is having a good time with Paul Krugman&#8217;s assertion that &#8220;U.S. debt is, to a large extent, money we owe to ourselves.&#8221; This bold claim comes in the midst of yet another of Krugman&#8217;s seemingly infinite number of columns touting deficit spending as a panacea for what ails the American [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9278836&amp;post=6708&amp;subd=politicsandprosperity&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Don Boudreaux of <a href="http://cafehayek.com/" target="_blank"><em>Cafe Hayek</em></a> is having a good time with Paul Krugman&#8217;s <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/02/opinion/krugman-nobody-understands-debt.html?_r=3&amp;ref=opinion" target="_blank">assertion</a> that &#8220;U.S. debt is, to a large extent, money we owe to ourselves.&#8221; This bold claim comes in the midst of yet another of Krugman&#8217;s seemingly infinite number of columns touting deficit spending as a panacea for what ails the American economy.</p>
<p>Boudreaux&#8217;s posts (to date) are <a href="http://cafehayek.com/2011/12/open-letter-to-paul-krugman-3.html" target="_blank">here</a>, <a href="http://cafehayek.com/2011/12/response-to-paul-krugman.html" target="_blank">here</a>, <a href="http://cafehayek.com/2011/12/nick-rowe-on-the-debt-burden.html" target="_blank">here</a>, <a href="http://cafehayek.com/2012/01/somebody-doesnt-understand-debt.html" target="_blank">here</a>, <a href="http://cafehayek.com/2012/01/hallelujah-we-owe-it-to-ourselves.html" target="_blank">here</a>, and <a href="http://cafehayek.com/2012/01/we-refuse-to-lend-to-us.html" target="_blank">here</a>. I will not try to match Boudreaux&#8217;s deep and weighty commentary on Krugman&#8217;s outrageous assertion. Instead, I offer the following non-academic observations for Mr. Krugman&#8217;s consideration:</p>
<p>1. Who are &#8220;we&#8221;? If government borrows money and spends it on goodies for Congressman X, Y, and Z&#8217;s districts, how do I get my cut? Or does the happiness generated in Congressman X, Y, and Z&#8217;s districts simply radiate in waves across the country, eventually reaching me and making me feel better?</p>
<p>2. I know of no magical power that enables government to ensure that deficit spending absorbs unemployed resources without diverting already-employed resources from productive uses. So this leads me to ask why it wouldn&#8217;t be better to take the borrowed money and flush it down a toilet, rather than sending it to Congressman X, Y, and Z&#8217;s districts.</p>
<p>3. Anyway, if the borrowed money makes (some) people in Congressman X, Y, and Z&#8217;s districts better off, why is it that &#8220;we&#8221; (i.e. the rest of us and/or our descendants) end up repaying the debt that made those others better off? I don&#8217;t understand how I &#8220;owe it to myself&#8221; when (a) I didn&#8217;t ask to borrow the money and (b) I gained nothing as a result of the borrowing.</p>
<p>You might claim that my personal wishes are of no account because Congress and the president are duly elected by majorities of voters. But that is tantamount to saying that Congress and the president possess a kind of omniscient super-consciousness that somehow overrides the harm, hate, and discontent that flow from their acts. I don&#8217;t think you&#8217;d agree with that, given your views about the many and various &#8220;sins&#8221; committed by the Bush administration, usually with the connivance of Congress. Or, perhaps only Democrats possess omniscient super-consciousness. Yes, that must be it.</p>
<p>With regard to my not having gained as a result of borrowing, perhaps you think that I ought to be happy simply because (some) people in Congressman X, Y, and Z&#8217;s districts are happier as a result of deficit spending. Perhaps I should be, but I am just a curmudgeon who has 12 grandchildren who will be less well off because of the extra taxes that I, their parents, and/or they will pay for the privilege of making some strangers happier. Are you telling me that you &#8212; or anyone &#8212; has a way of making everyone happier by making a lot of people  less happy? Or are you telling me that you don&#8217;t care who is made less happy as long as government does what you think it should do? My money is on the latter proposition.</p>
<p>If I do, indeed, owe some portion of the U.S. debt to myself, I hereby forgive my share of the debt and absolve myself of any obligation to pay it.</p>
<br />Filed under: <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/category/economics-fundamentals/'>Economics - Fundamentals</a> Tagged: <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/deficit-spending/'>deficit spending</a>, <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/national-debt/'>national debt</a>, <a href='http://politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/tag/paul-krugman/'>Paul Krugman</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6708/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6708/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6708/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6708/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6708/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6708/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6708/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6708/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6708/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6708/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6708/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6708/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6708/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com/6708/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=politicsandprosperity.wordpress.com&amp;blog=9278836&amp;post=6708&amp;subd=politicsandprosperity&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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